by John Helmer, Moscow   @bears_with In this discussion on Thursday morning, Chennai time, two leading Indian military analysts, Lieutenant General (retd) Ravi Shankar and Brigadier (retd) Arun Saghal,  explain that the 30-day ceasefire which the Americans and British have proposed for the Ukraine battlefield should follow as one of the outcomes of the  end-of-war negotiations, and not […]

by Editor - Thursday, March 13th, 2025
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by John Helmer, Moscow   @bears_with  “As for the situation in Syria,”, the spokesman for President Vladimir Putin announced on Monday, “violence is taking place there, which cannot but cause our deep concern. This concern is shared in many countries of the world, in international organizations, including the United Nations.”  On Tuesday, he added that “Russia supports […]

by Editor - Thursday, March 13th, 2025
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by John Helmer, Moscow   @bears_with There are four outcomes to beware in this game for players, and for kibitzers also. The first is the Observer Effect. This is when the observer gets so close to the target, the target itself is rattled, loses visibility, acts unpredictably. Second is the Confusion Effect when the observer can’t tell […]

by Editor - Wednesday, March 12th, 2025
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by John Helmer, Moscow   @bears_with Last week I asked Lieutenant General (retired) P.R. Shankar to analyse India’s victorious war against Pakistan which in fourteen days, December 3-16, 1971, ended in the capitulation of the Pakistan Army and the creation of the new state of Bangladesh; and compare that with Russia’s Special Military Operation (SVO) against the […]

by Editor - Monday, March 10th, 2025
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by John Helmer, Moscow   @bears_with President Donald Trump has asked President Vladimir Putin to assist him in arranging a grand Middle East peace deal. This, according to officials leaking to Bloomberg reporters, requires Iran to agree to dismantle its nuclear weapons programme, and also “Iran’s support for its allied groups such as Hamas and Hezbollah in […]

by Editor - Friday, March 7th, 2025
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by John Helmer, Moscow   @bears_with Someone has convinced President Donald Trump of two simple ideas.  The first is that because the US auto, aerospace, and artificial intelligence industries are heavily  dependent for their supplies of lithium, titanium,  and other rare earth minerals (REM) on two enemy states, China and Russia, they should be replaced as quickly […]

by Editor - Friday, March 7th, 2025
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by John Helmer, Moscow   @bears_with There is a bedrock of Russian public opinion on how the war in the Ukraine should end.  There is also a bedrock of American public opinion on whether President Donald Trump is to be believed when he speaks of ending the war under the new American “Golden Dome” of peace with […]

by Editor - Wednesday, March 5th, 2025
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by John Helmer, Moscow   @bears_with How to make losing the war in the Ukraine look like a win – this is President Donald Trump’s purpose in presenting himself and his administration as in favour of peace and of cashback to the United States. If he succeeds, he won’t appear to be running away from the battlefield, […]

by Editor - Tuesday, March 4th, 2025
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by John Helmer, Moscow   @bears_with In this unique discussion held yesterday, two senior Indian strategists spell out how they see the current European and US debate over how the Ukraine war may end.   Indian Army Brigadier (retired) Arun Saghal is one of the leading intelligence analysts in India. With a PhD from Allahabad University, he was […]

by Editor - Tuesday, March 4th, 2025
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by John Helmer, Moscow   @bears_with During the Oval Office meeting last Friday with Vladimir Zelensky, President Donald Trump said: “We gave you through this stupid president [Biden] $350 billion.”   The day before, in Trump’s two press conferences with British Prime Minister Keir Starmer on February 27, Trump repeated this number three times over: “And then […]

by Editor - Monday, March 3rd, 2025
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